Coaching Adult Pitchers

Coaching Adult Pitchers by Dr. Mike Marshall takes a comprehensive look at pitching mechanics, training, and techniques to improve skills.

"Rely on the variety of pitch selection, not location. Challenge the strike zone with all types of pitches all the time." - Dr. Mike Marshall
Coaching Adult Pitchers
Copyright © 2000-2004

by Michael G. Marshall, Ph.D.

Chapter 28: Computer Analysis

Since 1967, I had used Michigan State University's central computer to statistically analyze my master's thesis data. Therefore, after I completed my analysis of my 1974stically analyze my master's thesis data. Therefore, after I completed my analysis of my 1974 baseball data by hand, I decided that I needed to use MSU's central computer to statistically analyze my pitching data. Therefore, I recorded sixty variables for every at bat during my 1973 and 1974 major league baseball seasons on computer cards. I labeled my file, BASEBALLDATA.

Table 28.1: BASEBALLDATA

Var # Var Col

Description

01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
01
02
03-05
06
07
08-09
10-12
13-15
16
17-18
19
20
21
22
23

Year
Day/Night
Batter Number
Left/Right
Spray/Pull
Home Runs
Runs Batted In
Batting Average
Set/Windup Position
Inning Number
Away/Home
No outs/one out/two outs
Baserunner on first/No baserunner on first
Baserunner on second/No baserunner on second
Baserunner on third/No baserunner on third

16
17
18
19
20
24-25
26
27
28
29

Heirarchy of ball/strike count
1st pitch fastball/slider/screwball
1st pitch vertical location: High/middle/low
1st pitch horizontal location: In/middle/out
1st pitch ball/strike

21
22
23
24
25
30-31
32
33
34
35

Heirarchy of ball/strike count
2nd pitch fastball/slider/screwball
2nd pitch vertical location: High/middle/low
2nd pitch horizontal location: In/middle/out
2nd pitch ball/strike

26
27
28
29
30
36-37
38
39
40
41

Heirarchy of ball/strike count
3rd pitch fastball/slider/screwball
3rd pitch vertical location: High/middle/low
3rd pitch horizontal location: In/middle/out
3rd pitch ball/strike

31
32
33
34
35
42-43
44
45
46
47

Heirarchy of ball/strike count
4th pitch fastball/slider/screwball
4th pitch vertical location: High/middle/low
4th pitch horizontal location: In/middle/out
4th pitch ball/strike

36
37
38
39
40
48-49
50
51
52
53

Heirarchy of ball/strike count
5th pitch fastball/slider/screwball
5th pitch vertical location: High/middle/low
5th pitch horizontal location: In/middle/out
5th pitch ball/strike

41
42
43
44
45
54-55
56
57
58
59

Heirarchy of ball/strike count
6th pitch fastball/slider/screwball
6th pitch vertical location: High/middle/low
6th pitch horizontal location: In/middle/out
6th pitch ball/strike

46
47
48
49
50
60-61
62
63
64
65

Heirarchy of ball/strike count
7th pitch fastball/slider/screwball
7th pitch vertical location: High/middle/low
7th pitch horizontal location: In/middle/out
7th pitch ball/strike

51
52
53
66-67
68
69-70

At bat result
Type of batted ball
Batted ball field location

54
55
56
57
58
71-72
73
74
75
76

Heirarchy of ball/strike count
Action pitch fastball/slider/screwball
Action pitch vertical location: High/middle/low
Action pitch horizontal location: In/middle/out
Action pitch ball/strike

59
60
77
78-79

Pitches per at bat
Situation ranking

a. Pitch and Hitter Data Descriptions

To determine how frequently and successfully I threw my fastball, slider and screwball pitches, I cross-tabulated the seven pitch at bat selections (Variables 17, 22, 27, 32, 37, 42 and 47) with the seven at bat ball/strike results (Variables 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45 and 50).

Table 28.2: Pitch Selections and Strike Percentages Through Seven Pitches

  Pitches Pitch Selection
Percentages
Strike
Percentages
1st Fastball
Slider
Screwball
28.9% (469/1623)
23.8% (386/1623)
47.3% (768/1623)
65.2% (305/469)
60.9% (235/386)
53.4% (410/768)
2nd Fastball
Slider
Screwball
42.8% (580/1365)
23.0% (311/1365)
34.2% (464/1365)
69.3% (402/580)
67.8% (211/311)
61.0% (283/464)
3rd Fastball
Slider
Screwball
43.1% (452/1048)
22.5% (236/1048)
34.4% (360/1048)
47.8% (216/452)
42.8% (101/236)
76.4% (275/360)
4th Fastball
Slider
Screwball
43.2% (331/766)
18.5% (142/766)
38.3% (293/766)
66.5% (220/331)
67.6% (096/142)
64.2% (188/293)
5th Fastball
Slider
Screwball
43.6% (205/468)
22.3% (105/468)
33.6% (158/468)
73.2% (150/205)
70.5% (074/105)
65.2% (103/158)
6th Fastball
Slider
Screwball
45.7% (106/232)
23.7% (055/232)
30.6% (071/232)
71.7% (076/106)
78.2% (043/055)
53.5% (038/071)
7th Fastball
Slider
Screwball
54.8% (46/84)
19.0% (16/84)
26.2% (22/84)
80.4% (37/46)
87.5% (14/16)
72.7% (16/22)
Totals Fastball
Slider
Screwball
38.6% (2188/5675)
22.0% (1251/5675)
39.4% (2236/5675)
64.3% (1406/2188)
61.9% (0774/1251)
58.7% (1313/2236)

On my first pitch, I selected screwballs (47.3%) more frequently than fastballs (28.9%) or sliders (23.8%). However, I only threw 53.4% first pitch screwball strikes. On my second through seventh pitches, I selected fastballs more frequently than sliders or screwballs. On my third pitch, I threw only 47.8% fastball strikes and 42.8% slider strikes, but, suddenly, I threw 76.4% screwball strikes. On my seventh pitch, I threw 80.4% fastball strikes, 87.5% slider strikes and 72.7% screwball strikes. If I threw these percent strikes all the time, then I would never have seven pitch at bats. Rely on the variety of pitch selection, not location. Challenge the strike zone with all types of pitches all the time.

For general pitch at bats and hitter information, I cross-tabulated at bat results (Variable 51) with pitches per at bat (Variable 59).

Table 28.3: The Seven Pitch At Bat Results

1,556
Hitter
Results
Pitch At Bats
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Totals
At Bat % 16.6% 19.0% 18.0% 18.4% 14.8% 9.4% 3.7% 99.9%
Cumulative % 16.6% 35.6% 53.6% 72.0% 86.8% 96.2% 99.9% 16.6%
Hitters 259 296 280 287 230 146 58 1,556
Home Runs
Triples
Doubles
Singles
5
1
10
62
2
0
12
70
3
2
7
55
7
1
5
40
2
1
2
30
1
1
2
17
0
0
3
7
20
6
41
281
BB
IBB
HBP
Sac Bunt
Sac Fly
0
0
0
15
2
0
0
1
8
3
0
0
2
1
3
20
9
1
2
2
35
0
0
1
0
38
0
0
0
0
13
0
0
0
0
106
9
4
27
10
Outs 164 200 207 200 159 87 35 1,052
K called
K swinging
0
0
0
0
12
43
24
57
25
40
15
23
4
8
80
171
Batting Aver .322 .296 .245 .209 .180 .194 .222 .249
On Base % .322 .298 .250 .270 .306 .404 .397 .303

In one through seven pitch at bats, all batters achieved on-base percentages of .322, .298, .250, .270, .306, .404 and .397, respectively. They completed 53.6% of their at bats within three pitches and 86.8% of their at bats within five pitches.

While this information about all hitters combined is very interesting and I could complete several considerable in depth analyses, I needed to narrow my investigation to each of the four types of hitters. I needed to learn how to have more success against left-handed spray hitters, left-handed pull hitters, right-handed spray hitters and right-handed pull hitters.

b. Four Hitter Type Data Descriptions

Spray hitters hit to all fields. Pull hitters hit only to pull fields. For general information about the four types of hitters, I cross-tabulated at bat results with the seven pitch at bats for the four hitter types.

Table 28.4: Seven Pitch At Bat Results For 514 Left-Handed Spray Hitters

514 Left:
Spray Hitter
Results
Pitch At Bats
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Totals
At Bat % 18.2% 18.7% 17.9% 17.7% 16.5% 8.2% 2.7% 99.9%
Cumulative % 18.2% 36.9% 54.8% 72.5% 89.0% 97.2% 99.9% 99.9%
Hitters 94 96 92 91 85 42 14 514
Home Runs
Triples
Doubles
Singles
2
0
3
21
1
0
3
20
1
1
3
17
2
0
2
13
1
0
1
9
1
0
1
10
0
0
1
2
8
1
14
92
BB
IBB
HBP
Sac Bunt
Sac Fly
0
0
0
5
0
0
0
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
6
5
0
2
1
12
0
0
1
0
12
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
32
5
0
12
4
Outs 63 67 68 60 61 18 9 346
K called
K swinging
0
0
0
0
5
11
9
14
8
12
2
3
0
3
24
45
Batting Aver .292 .264 .244 .221 .153 .400 .250 .249
On Base % .292 .264 .244 .277 .273 .571 .357 .298

In one through seven pitch at bats, left-handed spray hitters achieved on-base percentages of .292, .264, .244, .277, .273, .571 and .357, respectively. They completed 54.8% of their at bats within three pitches and 89.0% of their at bats within five pitches.

Table 28.5: Seven Pitch At Bat Results For 187 Left-Handed Pull Hitters

187 Left:
Pull Hitter
Results
Pitch At Bats
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Totals
At Bat % 10.7% 14.4% 20.9% 20.9% 15.5% 13.4% 4.2% 100%
Cumulative % 10.7% 25.1% 46.0% 66.9% 82.4% 95.8% 100% 100%
Hitters 20 27 39 39 29 25 8 187
Home Runs
Triples
Doubles
Singles
0
0
1
5
0
0
1
6
0
0
3
7
0
0
1
7
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
28
BB
IBB
HBP
Sac Bunt
Sac Fly
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
0
0
7
0
0
0
0
8
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
20
0
0
0
1
Outs 14 20 28 28 19 16 7 133
K called
K swinging
0
0
0
0
4
7
4
8
6
4
3
6
1
2
18
27
Batting Aver .300 .259 .263 .222 .136 .059 .000 .208
On Base % .300 .259 .263 .282 .345 .360 .143 .252

In one through seven pitch at bats, left-handed pull hitters achieved on-base percentages of .300, .259, .263, .282, .345, .360 and .143, respectively. They completed 46.0% of their at bats within three pitches and 82.4% of their at bats within five pitches.

Table 28.6: Seven Pitch At Bat Results For 585 Right-Handed Spray Hitters

585 Right:
Spray Hitter
Results
Pitch At Bats
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Totals
At Bat % 17.6% 21.7% 16.6% 18.3% 13.0% 9.6% 3.2% 100%
Cumulative % 17.6% 39.3% 55.9% 74.2% 87.2% 96.8% 100% 100%
Hitters 103 127 97 107 76 56 19 585
Home Runs
Triples
Doubles
Singles
2
1
6
22
0
0
6
35
1
0
1
24
3
0
2
16
0
1
1
16
0
1
1
4
0
0
2
4
6
3
19
121
BB
IBB
HBP
Sac Bunt
Sac Fly
0
0
0
10
1
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
10
3
1
0
1
10
0
0
0
0
12
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
35
3
4
12
3
Outs 61 82 69 71 48 38 10 382
K called
K swinging
0
0
0
0
2
15
9
18
7
15
5
8
0
1
23
57
Batting Aver .337 .333 .274 .228 .273 .136 .375 .281
On Base % .337 .338 .289 .311 .368 .273 .474 .330

In one through seven pitch at bats, right-handed spray hitters achieved on-base percentages of .337, .338, .289, .311, .368, .273 and .474, respectively. They completed 55.9% of their at bats within three pitches and 87.2% of their at bats within five pitches.

Table 28.7: Seven Pitch At Bat Results For 270 Right-Handed Pull Hitters

270 Right:
Pull Hitter
Results
Pitch At Bats
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Totals
At Bat % 15.6% 17.0% 19.3% 18.5% 14.8% 8.5% 6.3% 100%
Cumulative % 15.6% 32.6% 51.9% 70.4% 85.2% 93.7% 100% 100%
Hitters 42 46 52 50 40 23 17 270
Home Runs
Triples
Doubles
Singles
1
0
0
14
1
0
2
9
1
1
0
7
2
1
0
4
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
1
5
2
2
40
BB
IBB
HBP
Sac Bunt
Sac Fly
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
6
0
0
0
0
6
0
0
0
0
7
0
0
0
0
21
1
0
3
2
Outs 26 31 42 41 31 15 9 194
K called
K swinging
0
0
0
0
3
10
2
17
4
9
5
6
3
2
17
44
Batting Aver .366 .279 .176 .146 .088 .118 .100 .202
On Base % .366 .279 .176 .163 .225 .348 .471 .268

In one through seven pitch at bats, right-handed pull hitters achieved on-base percentages of .366, .279, .176, .163, .225, .348 and .471, respectively. They completed 51.9% of their at bats within three pitches and 85.2% of their at bats within five pitches.

c. Comparing the Four Types of Hitters

Table 28.8: Seven Pitch At Bat On-Base % For the Four Hitter Types

Hitters 1 Pitch 2 Pitch 3 Pitch 4 Pitch 5 Pitch 6 Pitch 7 Pitch
LHSH .292 .264 .244 .277 .273 .571 .357
LHPH .300 .259 .263 .282 .345 .360 .143
RHSH .337 .338 .289 .311 .368 .273 .474
RHPH .366 .279 .176 .163 .225 .348 .471

Right-handed pull hitters batted .366 against me in one pitch at bats. I need to throw either better quality or new types of pitches on my first pitches to them. Right-handed spray hitters reached base over .300 percent of the time in one, two, four, five and seven pitch at bats against me. Clearly, I need new types of pitches with which to get right-handed spray hitters out. Except for seven pitch at bats against left-handed pull hitters, all hitters reached base against me well over .350 percent of the time in six and seven pitch at bats. I need to end all at bats within five pitches.

Left-handed spray hitters completed 54.8% of their at bats within three pitches and 89.0% of their at bats within five pitches. They completed 46.0% of their at bats within three pitches and 82.4% of their at bats within five pitches. Right-handed spray hitters completed 55.9% of their at bats within three pitches and 87.2% of their at bats within five pitches. Right-handed pull hitters completed 51.9% of their at bats within three pitches and 85.2% of their at bats within five pitches. Left-handed pull hitters force me into more pitches per at bat.

I require more specific information. Therefore, I asked the computer to examine what pitches I throw on one pitch at bats and their results, what pitches I throw on two pitch at bats and their results and so on.

Coaching Adult Pitchers



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